Over a long enough period of time, a team will recover about 50% of the fumbles that occur in its games.Over a long enough period of time, a team will produce a ratio of about one interception to every four pass breakups.Through some combination of risk tolerance (say, defensive backs who take extra chances) and proper fundamentals (running backs properly leaving the ball unexposed), a team can have a bit of an impact on its turnover margin. But once a ball is fumbled or deflected, randomness takes over. And the teams that benefit the most from randomness in a given season tend to find comeuppance from the turnover gods the next season.
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